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What are our chances for 2024?

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What do you think our chances are of winning the 2024 premiership?
Very good – we're in the box seat and will be hard to stop
27%
 27%  [ 30 ]
Pretty good – we should finish top 4 and still be in contention on preliminary final weekend, but hard to know from there
47%
 47%  [ 52 ]
Unsure – new season, everyone starts from scratch, and we're just one of many teams that can win it
19%
 19%  [ 21 ]
Not so good – expecting a premiership hangover and/or for other teams to pass us by
5%
 5%  [ 6 ]
Total Votes : 109

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LaurieHolden Aquarius

Floreat Gymnorhina tyrannica


Joined: 22 Feb 2009
Location: Victoria Park

PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2024 1:22 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

While largely off the back of a swollen causality ward, having 6 debutants season to date will undoubtedly bolster our Premiership defence. It's no use asking the question by debuting them during the finals, it poses more risk than reward.
All going well, of the 6 debutants season to date, 3 will have forced their way into the side come finals.
If Richards (for Ginnivan), Harrison (Markov) and Dean (Murphy) have cemented their spot in the side come 1st week of finals, we'll be right in the mix again.
I'm still bullish on Dean. I've seen him do some things that suggested he's not afraid of taking risk as a defender and can play the game.
I think Pies2016 mentioned Frampton might yet prove the ultimate swingman if Dean starts to flourish in tandem with Moore, then we have an option to move Frampton up the ground (forward or ruck) if and when required.
Frampton and McInnes might loom as the biggest swing factors in this side if they can hit the scoreboard when the whips are cracking.
Noble on season to date will be hard to keep out.

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RudeBoy 



Joined: 28 Nov 2005


PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2024 4:23 pm
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If we can beat Freo today, missing JDG, Elliott, WHE, Mitchell and Howe, then I reckon we can go on and finish 2nd by season's end.
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lazzadesilva Virgo



Joined: 04 Feb 2003


PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2024 5:29 pm
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RudeBoy wrote:
If we can beat Freo today, missing JDG, Elliott, WHE, Mitchell and Howe, then I reckon we can go on and finish 2nd by season's end.


2nd? I hope you mean on the ladder and not in the GF 😳 🤣

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What'sinaname Libra



Joined: 29 May 2010
Location: Living rent free

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2024 7:28 pm
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I've run the ladder predictor and get the following

Syd 80
Mel 76
Car 76
Ess 66
GWS 60
Geel 60
Port 52
GC 48
----
Freo 46
Coll 44
Haw 44
Bri 42
WB 40
Adel 34
WCE 32
StK 12
Rich 12
Nor 4

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shawthing Virgo



Joined: 04 Jul 2019
Location: Victoria Park

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2024 10:32 pm
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Realistically not good now.
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Haff Capricorn



Joined: 25 Apr 2016


PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2024 10:49 pm
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We’ll go into the bye 7-2-6.
Top 4 is long long gone but if we have our full squad, there is zero reason we can’t win it from as far back as 8th!

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What'sinaname Libra



Joined: 29 May 2010
Location: Living rent free

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2024 10:51 pm
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Haff wrote:
We’ll go into the bye 7-2-6.
Top 4 is long long gone but if we have our full squad, there is zero reason we can’t win it from as far back as 8th!


We've got to get to 8th.

We have a horror run after the bye. The Richmond game is the only game you can confidently pencil in as a win

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Take_a_Screamer Leo

.....No.40...Ash Johnson...


Joined: 22 Aug 2018
Location: Melbourne S.E.Suburbs

PostPosted: Thu Jun 06, 2024 9:59 am
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Players mentioned...

● Billy Frampton
● Ash Johnson
● Steele Sidebottom
● Wil Parker
● The Midfield Mix

Experimentation, or illogical? Questions over four key Pies sum up Collingwood's current crossroads
https://www.theroar.com.au/2024/06/06/some-of-collingwoods-tactical-decisions-dont-seem-entirely-logical-questions-for-the-pies-moving-forward/

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1eyedpie Virgo



Joined: 10 Mar 2005
Location: Melbourne

PostPosted: Thu Jun 06, 2024 7:58 pm
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Take_a_Screamer wrote:
/


^

I agree 100% with the roar article.

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Jezza Taurus

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Joined: 05 Sep 2010
Location: Ponsford End

PostPosted: Sun Jun 09, 2024 8:49 pm
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Sydney obviously the standout team at this stage, but everyone else is stumbling at the moment so there's an opportunity to get a run on in the second half of the season and get top 4.

If we beat Melbourne tomorrow and North Melbourne next week, then we're in a good position heading into the bye where hopefully our experienced players (e.g. Pendles, Checkers, JDG etc.) gradually start returning soon after.

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RudeBoy 



Joined: 28 Nov 2005


PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 2:42 am
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Correct weight Jezza.

I'm calling it now. If we beat the toffs we will make the top 4.
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What'sinaname Libra



Joined: 29 May 2010
Location: Living rent free

PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 7:51 am
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Sydney and Carlton will lock up 1 and 2. Sydney far too good and Carlton have a buttery soft fixture.

Everyone else is playing for 3 - 8 now.

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Take_a_Screamer Leo

.....No.40...Ash Johnson...


Joined: 22 Aug 2018
Location: Melbourne S.E.Suburbs

PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 9:59 am
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Replacements stepping up...
Well written The Age article about our prospects

https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/you-never-know-when-an-opportunity-comes-the-replacements-stepping-up-for-injury-ravaged-pies-20240607-p5jk66.html

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mattdally 



Joined: 21 Feb 2003
Location: Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 10:22 am
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Interesting.
If we can get the W today, we're going to set ourselves for top 4.
If we lose, then it will be a battle to make the finals.

Big Game Pies
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eddiesmith Taurus

Lets get ready to Rumble


Joined: 22 Nov 2004
Location: Lexus Centre

PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 12:23 pm
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What'sinaname wrote:
Sydney and Carlton will lock up 1 and 2. Sydney far too good and Carlton have a buttery soft fixture.

Everyone else is playing for 3 - 8 now.


Can’t believe how soft Carlton’s draw is given they made a prelim…

Geelong’s is also soft with double ups against the bottom 6 so will also finish top 4 despite not beating another top 8 side.
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