Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

McClure:

The AFL’s ‘engine’: How gambling money underpins footy

https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/the-afl-s-engine-how-gambling-money-underpins-footy-20220214-p59wa7.html

"The millions have flowed to the AFL and in 2020 it inked another five-year sponsorship deal with Sportsbet. It costs Sportsbet between $12 million and $15 million a year, though a senior AFL source, who did not wish to be identified, told The Age the AFL only received $6 million to $8 million of that.

But sponsorship is just one of the four ways gambling money pours into Australia’s most popular football competition.

The TV stations that pay for AFL broadcast rights are partly funded by the huge advertising spending of the betting companies. The on-ground advertising of gambling companies — which could have been abolished by the Andrews government — is worth up to $3 million to the AFL.
...

The AFL downplays the value of this tie-up, saying the $10 million sponsorship is a small proportion of the game’s $100 million income from sponsorships, but Tripp says the AFL imprimatur helped revolutionise the range of betting products he could offer. It’s one of the deals that has helped take Sportsbet from a market value of $250,000 in 2005 to its current $12 billion to $14 billion.

The bookmakers also pay between $1 million and $3 million for gambling at the ground.

And then there is the TV rights. ...

Without $47 million in gambling ad revenue, industry insiders say it’s doubtful Seven could afford the approximately $150 million it pays to the AFL each year for the broadcast rights – by far the biggest contributor to the AFL’s coffers. More would flow from gambling companies via Fox though those figures cannot be estimated."

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

2022, just before R1 kicks off...

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.11
Brisbane, WB 1.22
Port 1.33
Geelong 1.36
Richmond, Sydney 1.45
GWS 2.00
Essendon 2.25
Fremantle 2.50
St K 2.63
Carlton 2.88
WC 4.00
Collingwood 5.50
Adelaide, Hawthorn 6.00
GC, North 8.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.62
Brisbane, WB 1.83
Port 2.10
Geelong 2.75
Richmond, Sydney 3.00
GWS 4.50
Essendon 5.50
Fremantle 6.50
St K 7.00
Carlton 9.00
WC Collingwood 15.00
Adelaide, Hawthorn 18.00
GC, North 26.00

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.04
Brisbane 1.17
Geelong 1.28
WB 1.33
Sydney 1.36
Port 1.45
Richmond 1.80
Carlton 2.00
GWS 2.10
Fremantle 2.20
Essendon 2.50
St K 3.30
Collingwood 3.75
WC, Hawthorn 4.50
GC 6.50
Adelaide 8.50
North 13.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.36
Brisbane 1.67
Geelong 2.10
WB 2.25
Port, Sydney 2.63
Richmond 4.00
GWS, Carlton 5.50
Essendon, Fremantle 6.00
Collingwood 10.00
St K 11.00
WC, Hawthorn 15.00
GC 26.00
Adelaide 31.00
North 41.00

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.03
Brisbane 1.11
Sydney 1.22
Geelong 1.30
WB 1.53
Carlton 1.62
Richmond 1.72
Port 1.80
GWS 2.30
Fremantle, St K 2.88
Collingwood 3.00
Essendon 3.10
Hawthorn 3.20
WC 6.00
GC 6.50
Adelaide, North 11.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.28
Brisbane 1.57
Sydney 2.00
Geelong 2.37
WB 2.88
Carlton, Richmond 3.40
Port 3.75
GWS 7.00
Collingwood, St K 8.50
Hawthorn 9.50
Essendon, Fremantle 10.00
WC 17.00
GC 34.00
Adelaide, North 51.00

What'sinaname · Joined: 29 May 2010 Location: Living rent free

After 2 and a bit rounds, we could be looking at a Melbourne / Carlton GF

Jezza · 2023 PREMIERS! Joined: 05 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End

Lazza · Joined: 04 Feb 2003 Location: Bendigo, Victoria, Australia

Pies4shaw · pies4shaw Joined: 08 Oct 2007

I'd love to see Carlton in the Grand Final. I reckon they could do a 2007 Port Adelaide for us - that'd be worth watching.

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

Before R4...

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.02
Brisbane 1.08
Sydney, Geelong 1.25
Carlton 1.33
WB 1.40
Richmond 2.00
GWS 2.25
St K 2.37
Port 2.40
Fremantle 2.60
Collingwood, Essendon 3.00
Hawthorn 3.25
WC 8.00
GC 10.00
Adelaide 11.00
North 21.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.25
Brisbane 1.40
Sydney, Geelong 2.20
Carlton 2.40
WB 2.50
Richmond 5.50
Port, GWS, St K 6.00
Fremantle 7.50
Collingwood, Essendon 10.00
Hawthorn 13.00
WC 26.00
Adelaide 51.00
GC 67.00
North 81.00

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

Before R6...

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.01
Brisbane 1.05
Sydney 1.11
Geelong 1.14
Carlton 1.36
WB 1.57
Fremantle, St K 1.62
Richmond 1.91
Hawthorn 2.88
Collingwood 3.75
GWS 4.00
Essendon, Port 6.00
GC 7.50
Adelaide, WC 8.00
North 51.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.11
Brisbane 1.36
Sydney, Geelong 1.91
Carlton 2.80
WB 3.10
St K 3.60
Fremantle 4.00
Richmond 7.00
Hawthorn 12.00
GWS 15.00
Collingwood 17.00
Essendon, Port 26.00
WC, Adelaide, GC 51.00
North 201.00

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

Before R7...

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.01
Brisbane 1.04
Sydney 1.09
Geelong 1.10
St K 1.36
Fremantle 1.50
Carlton 1.62
WB 1.80
Richmond 2.10
Hawthorn 3.10
Collingwood 3.25
Adelaide 4.75
Port 5.50
Essendon, GWS, GC 8.00
WC 10.00
North 51.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.08
Brisbane 1.36
Sydney 1.91
Geelong 2.00
St K 3.00
Fremantle 3.10
WB 3.75
Carlton 4.50
Richmond 9.00
Collingwood 11.00
Hawthorn 15.00
Port 21.00
Adelaide 23.00
GWS, Essendon 41.00
GC, WC 67.00
North 201.00

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

Before R8...

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne 1.01
Brisbane 1.02
Sydney 1.10
Fremantle 1.18
Geelong 1.23
St K 1.53
Carlton 1.61
WB, Richmond 1.80
Collingwood 3.00
Hawthorn, Port 4.00
GWS 4.90
Adelaide 6.00
Essendon, GC 10.00
WC 34.00
North 81.00

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne 1.07
Brisbane 1.30
Sydney 1.75
Fremantle 1.85
Geelong 2.35
St K, WB 4.00
Carlton 4.50
Richmond 5.00
Collingwood 10.00
Hawthorn, Port 18.00
GWS 34.00
Adelaide 41.00
Essendon, GC 101.00
North, WC 251.00