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shwany
Joined: 12 Mar 2013
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Post subject: The 8 is still a chance 50/50 - analysis | |
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I think tonight we showed a lot of improvement, Im not writing our season off just yet.
I'm not saying we can win the grand final but I'm hoping we can still make the 8 and win one final.
Clokes in form, Reid will get better, there were glimpses tonight of our best, if we can build each wee we should be able to win 4 of the last 5.
we are equal with Adelaide on wins but about 4 goals behind on percentage, 1 win and 4 goals behind essendon and about one win and 8 goals behind north.
Adelaide:
West coast
Brisbane away
Richmond
North away
St Kilda
Probably equally as hard as our draw, should win 3 or 4. Richmond and lions games will be crucial. Percentage will be the key between us and them.
Essendon:
Sydney away
Richmond
West coast
Suns
Carlton
Probably a harder run home than us, no easy wins.
North:
Geelong
Giants
Adelaide
Bulldogs
Melbourne
Should win 4, highly unlikely we will catch them.
Collingwood:
Port
West coast away
Brisbane
Giants away
Hawthorn
Essentially we could get either crows or bombers spot, west coast, Richmond and Brisbane will probably be the deciding factors.
We have to beat port, I saw enough tonight to think we should, we had no injuries today in afl or vfl, should be a more settled side next week.
Another thing we would want to happen is a dead rubber result for hawthorn, which will likely happen if they beat geelong or Fremantle. If they can lock in top 2 before round 23 they will probably rest knowing we will be playing for our lives.
I think it's 50/50 of us still making it. If WC beat Adelaide, swans beat essendon and geelong beet north and we have a big win over port we could even be 6th, it's not that far out of the question.
Bo-lieve!!!!
Last edited by shwany on Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:09 am; edited 1 time in total |
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AN_Inkling
Joined: 06 Oct 2007
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I don't think we'll lose another game this year. Danger games will be against Brisbane, who are going well, and Hawthorn if they need to win the last game. I think we'll win at least 4 out of 5. _________________ Well done boys! |
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Tannin
Can't remember
Joined: 06 Aug 2006 Location: Huon Valley Tasmania
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When does the cricket start? _________________ �Let's eat Grandma.� Commas save lives! |
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shwany
Joined: 12 Mar 2013
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AN_Inkling wrote: | I don't think we'll lose another game this year. Danger games will be against Brisbane, who are going well, and Hawthorn if they need to win the last game. I think we'll win at least 4 out of 5. |
Works out well having Adelaide play them the week before |
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shwany
Joined: 12 Mar 2013
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Port will likely finish 5th, if we can finish 8 I wouldn't mind playing them in week 1 |
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David
to wish impossible things
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: the edge of the deep green sea
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AN_Inkling wrote: | I don't think we'll lose another game this year. Danger games will be against Brisbane, who are going well, and Hawthorn if they need to win the last game. I think we'll win at least 4 out of 5. |
Really depends on whether we're able to beat Port next week. They've been playing badly, but hardly worse than us. I reckon we'll win 3 out of 5, which would unfortunately see us just miss out. _________________ "Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange |
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shwany
Joined: 12 Mar 2013
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Clinton youngs dropped mark may haunt us |
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Jezza
2023 PREMIERS!
Joined: 06 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End
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If we make it I'll be pleased and it'll be great to see whether we can defy the odds and win the Elimination Final but if we can't make it then we don't deserve to and I really hope that's a wake up call to the coaching staff and the club in general that we seriously need to improve next year. Either way it doesn't bother me now if we make it or not. Personally I think it'll be a bonus considering today was a do or die game so to speak.
All games are winnable for us apart from the Hawks who have been our bogey team for ages but who knows we may catch them at a good time especially since they'll have one eye on the finals and they'll be cautious about injuries. I think we could beat Port on the form they're displaying at the moment next week. A few weeks ago I would have said we were no chance against them but we can beat them if we play at our best, but Hinkley has outclassed Bucks in the coaches box twice though as we saw last year. _________________ | 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 | |
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melliot
Joined: 07 Apr 2006 Location: Bendigo
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Make the finals. Don't make the finals. It really isn't the point ATM and a waste of energy. Playing better/good basic footy is. The rest will take care of its self. Playing for future years is where our aim should be. |
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doriswilgus
Joined: 16 Jun 2005 Location: the great southern land
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With Adelaide's easy draw,we've virtually got to win our last five games now.Impossible. |
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swoop42
Whatcha gonna do when he comes for you?
Joined: 02 Aug 2008 Location: The 18
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AN_Inkling wrote: | I don't think we'll lose another game this year. Danger games will be against Brisbane, who are going well, and Hawthorn if they need to win the last game. I think we'll win at least 4 out of 5. |
Wow that optimism.
We'll be the underdogs next week, lose that and it's season over I'm afraid if it aint already. _________________ He's mad. He's bad. He's MaynHARD! |
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shwany
Joined: 12 Mar 2013
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doriswilgus wrote: | With Adelaide's easy draw,we've virtually got to win our last five games now.Impossible. |
I rather our draw over Adelaide,
They play north and Richmond who are looking alright.
We play hawks |
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David
to wish impossible things
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: the edge of the deep green sea
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doriswilgus wrote: | With Adelaide's easy draw,we've virtually got to win our last five games now.Impossible. |
If we end up in the running at all, our battle is more likely to be with Essendon than Adelaide (who I agree will probably finish higher than us). The Bombers have a much tougher draw. North are no certainties either. _________________ "Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange |
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woodys_world69
Joined: 04 Jul 2005 Location: Brisbane
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shwany wrote: | Clinton youngs dropped mark may haunt us |
May???????
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Big T
Joined: 18 Oct 2003 Location: Torino, Italy
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swoop42 wrote: | AN_Inkling wrote: | I don't think we'll lose another game this year. Danger games will be against Brisbane, who are going well, and Hawthorn if they need to win the last game. I think we'll win at least 4 out of 5. |
Wow that optimism.
We'll be the underdogs next week, lose that and it's season over I'm afraid if it aint already. |
Port coming off the bye and with players coming back, and moving out of their mid season slump. Yeah, we will be raging favourites. _________________ Buon Giorno |
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