Nick's Collingwood Bulletin Board Forum Index
 The RulesThe Rules FAQFAQ
   MemberlistMemberlist   UsergroupsUsergroups   CalendarCalendar   SearchSearch 
Log inLog in RegisterRegister
 
A horse racing thread

Users browsing this topic:0 Registered, 0 Hidden and 0 Guests
Registered Users: None

Post new topic   Reply to topic    Nick's Collingwood Bulletin Board Forum Index -> Nick's Sports Bar
 
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Sat Nov 20, 2021 7:04 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Skids wrote:
...
My pony, All Jeed Up returns to the track at Gatton in the last today.... could this be the end of my best 'purple patch' in the last decade?... Hopefully not Wink

How many ponies do you have?!

Should we start a horse-racing thread? Question
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Sat Nov 20, 2021 2:10 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Only the one. He ran a shocker 1st up.

Had a few over the years, 10 winners photos on the wall in The Daicos Bar.

Railway Stakes at Ascot today. The favourite should win, too short for me to back. Looking for value I can't go past Kaptain Kaos.

The Listed Placid Ark stakes I like Willie Pikes ride, Real Danger @ $9.
Son Of A God in the WA Stakea @ $4.
Treasured Star to win the WA Guineas @ $3
A roughie, Cryptic Love @ $31 in The Jungle Mist.

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Sat Nov 20, 2021 8:42 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

The first time I laid a racing bet, I didn't realize that "fixed odds" bets are not literally at fixed odds!! Exclamation Embarassed
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Sun Nov 21, 2021 11:14 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

What do you mean? Fixed odds are fixed odds.
_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
ronrat 



Joined: 22 May 2006
Location: Thailand

PostPosted: Mon Nov 22, 2021 6:28 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

The TAB blocked my account for betting from overseas and said if I want my money I have to present in person. Ironically 4 days after I had a free 25.00 bet which I turned into 125,00.

And the 2 SP bookmakers here were lagged in and they were closed down. Its ridiculous. They raided a house here a few years ago and arrested 20 people, all over 75 , who were in a Bridge club and drinking tea and coffee. Ironically later the month the world bridge titles were to be held at the Bangkok Marriott and they were forced to cancel the event and some 400 hotel rooms were cancelled. The Marriott responded by dropping the discount that was on offer to Thai Police.

_________________
Annoying opposition supporters since 1967.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:51 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Skids wrote:
What do you mean? Fixed odds are fixed odds.

That's what I thought!!

But it changes if there are scratchings! And if the weather is bad, there will be lots of scratchings. Then it'll change a lot!

Not good when you put money on a horse at 2.00+ to place, it places, you think you've won well... and then you see you've been given revised odds of 1.30. Exclamation Shocked

OTOH, if you put money on a scratched horse, it gets refunded... So it does make sense. The bookies are not getting away with murder on this one.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:02 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

ronrat wrote:
The TAB blocked my account for betting from overseas and said if I want my money I have to present in person. ...

That's bad. Sad

Do you have accounts with any of the other bookies?

Did you do it over the internet? You could try using an anonymous VPN.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:30 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

K wrote:
Skids wrote:
What do you mean? Fixed odds are fixed odds.

That's what I thought!!

But it changes if there are scratchings! And if the weather is bad, there will be lots of scratchings. Then it'll change a lot!

Not good when you put money on a horse at 2.00+ to place, it places, you think you've won well... and then you see you've been given revised odds of 1.30. Exclamation Shocked

OTOH, if you put money on a scratched horse, it gets refunded... So it does make sense. The bookies are not getting away with murder on this one.


There would have to be most of the field scratched to go from a $2 place divvy to a $1.30 divvy.

Yes, there are deductions if horses are scratched. The amount varies, depending on the odds of the scratched horse.
As you say, that's only fair.

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Mon Nov 29, 2021 11:50 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

There were a couple scratched before I placed the bet. (Obviously that's already baked into my bet.) Then there were maybe 3 or 4 scratchings after...

The big thing is who the scratchings are. If it's "just" 3 or 4, but that includes some of the favourites, then that's a big change.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Mon Nov 29, 2021 12:05 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

DRUMMOND GOLF-KINGSTON TOWN CLASSIC - G1, 3-Y-O & UP

The WFA feature at Ascot this Saturday looks like a forgone conclusion.

Western Empire, the Railway Stakes winner is now an unbackable $1.40.
The 4yo gelding absolutely blitzed them over the mile, the 4 length margin could quite easily have been 6 if Pikey had given him full rein.

The step up to 1800m suits him perfectly, with a victory in the JC Roberts (LR) over the same distance back in March in dominating fashion a good indicator.
This blokes rise to G1 winner has been comparable to Incentivise.
He won a maiden at Bunbury in January and since then, has won; 3 listed races, a Group 3, a Group 2 and last weeks Group 1 event. His only blemish being a 1.6 length 3rd in the Listed Challenge Stakes in February when he raced keenly in the early and middle stages for jockey C. Parnham.

For a bit of value, I'm looking at Kissonallforcheeks ($15/$2.80). The 4yo mare meets him 2kg better than in the Railway and she has got the better of the favourite twice in the 4 times they have met. Having said that, I don't think she will this time.

Western Empire
Kissonallforcheeks
Regal Power
Platoon

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.


Last edited by Skids on Mon Nov 29, 2021 12:08 pm; edited 3 times in total
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:55 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

^ sb's tipster goes for:

Western Empire ($1.35)
Regal Power (7.00)
Kissonallforcheeks (17.00)
Searchin' Roc's (9.00)

Dunno how good his tips are... But if they were too good, sb wouldn't want him, would they? Cool

"WESTERN EMPIRE made the racing world's jaw drop with his Railway rampage two weeks back. He'll have to do it a different way from this draw, ... but ... is still expected to cruise to another arrogant victory. ... 1800m is the big query on KISSONALLFORCHEEKS but she maps for a soft run and just needs to chill out early to record another Group 1 placing. High-quality filly SEARCHIN' ROC'S gets the draw to make the most of her 50kg and 3YOs often hold their own in this. ..."
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 10:15 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

The Lee-Steere classic is one I've had a dip at. Sparkling Blue @$16 is a sound each way bet.

The George Moore Stakes at Doomben, I've backed Alligator Blood E/W @ $15.

Pakenham today. Race 8 I have Looks Like Elvis to win @ $9 and in the Pakenham Cup my money is on Good Idea, E/W @ $26.

Gone for a rough all up.

BR 7 - # 11 Barneys Law into MR 8 - # 3 Looks Like Elvis into PR 6 - #9 Sparkling Blue - $3.50 to win = $3200, $6.50 to place = $140.

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 10:25 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't usually bet on the dogs but there's one running tonight at Warragul that I do follow - Sharnis My Girl.
One of my daughters is Sharnee and I spotted this bitch just over a year ago when I was having a countery at the local, and she got up at good odds.
17 wins from 61 starts is a pretty decent strike rate and she always pays a good divy.

Only a small girl, if she cops a rough start, it's usually all over for her. But left untroubled, she has the pace to boot clear early.
Paying $6 tonight, she's drawn nicely in Box 3 and with the slow starter #9 jumping from the 4 box, I think she'll get away cleanly and prove very hard to catch. #1 the obvious danger.

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Sat Dec 04, 2021 10:41 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Looks Like Elvis made them look second rate and cruised to victory.

Good Idea was backed in to $10 by the time they jumped, I got $5.75 the place, ran a very solid 2nd.

Sharnis My Girl, got that early lead and never looked like losing, paid the succulent price of $11.80.

Got the Quaddie at Pakenham as well, so a very good day indeed.

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
Skids 

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Mon Dec 06, 2021 8:33 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

VILLIERS STAKES - Royal Randwick G2 over 1600m.

Feature of this weekends racing.

I Am Superman is my pick in this. $10/$3.25 before final acceptances.
* Any bets placed now are all in. Gets scratched or misses the field, no refund (or deductions K).

The lightly raced 6yo gelding is having his 4th run back from a spell. The Snowden stable have spaced his first 3 runs this prep at 4 week intervals. This is 2 weeks since his last run and the step up in distance suits perfectly.

If Kerrin McEvoy rides him and he draws a decent gate, he'll be $4 when they jump.

_________________
If you're going to be weird, be confident about it.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Nick's Collingwood Bulletin Board Forum Index -> Nick's Sports Bar All times are GMT + 11 Hours

Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next
Page 1 of 8   

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
You cannot attach files in this forum
You can download files in this forum



Privacy Policy

Powered by phpBB © 2001, 2005 phpBB Group