Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

Post by **Jezza** » Fri Sep 11, 2020 10:59 pm

^ This didn't age well

sb AFL premiership winner 2020

Richmond = $3.75
Geelong = $5.00
Brisbane = $5.50
Port Adelaide = $8.00
West Coast = $11.00
Collingwood = $21.00
Western Bulldogs = $26.00
GWS = $41.00
St Kilda = $81.00
Carlton = $201.00
Melbourne = $201.00
Essendon = $501.00
Fremantle = $501.00

K · Post by K » Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:24 am

Jezza wrote:^ This didn't age well
...

Rudey was predicting the PF result.

K · Post by K » Mon Sep 21, 2020 10:53 pm

sb AFL premiership winner 2020

Richmond = $3.40
Geelong = $5.00
Brisbane = $5.50
Port Adelaide = $7.00
West Coast = $13.00
Western Bulldogs = $21.00
Collingwood = $26.00
St Kilda = $41.00

K · Post by K » Thu Sep 24, 2020 6:22 pm

sb Brownlow Medal

Lachie Neale 1.25
Christian Petracca 7.00
Travis Boak 8.00
Jack Steele 13.00
Jack Macrae 21.00
Paddy 21.00
...

Collingwood:
Scott Pendlebury 67.00
Taylor Adams 67.00
Brodie Grundy 151.00
Adam Treloar 251.00
...

K · Post by K » Sun Oct 04, 2020 5:41 am

sb AFL premiership winner 2020

Brisbane = $3.25
Port Adelaide = $4.00
Richmond = $4.50
Geelong = $9.00
Collingwood = $12.00
St Kilda = $26.00

piedys · Post by **piedys** » Sun Oct 04, 2020 11:56 am

LOL @ Geelong = $9.00.

You'll get less for their pelts this time next week.

K · Post by K » Wed Mar 17, 2021 4:54 pm

Time for predictions. Top 4, top 8, top 18...

...........................................................

sb (minor premiership):

1 Richmond
2 Geebung
3 Brisbane
4 Port
5 WC
6 WB
7-8 Collingwood, St K
9 GWS
10 Carlton
11 Melbourne
12 Hawthorn
13-14 Essendon, Freo
15-16 GC, Sydney
17-18 Adelaide, North

Rd10.1998_11.1#36 · Post by **Rd10.1998_11.1#36** » Thu Mar 18, 2021 2:27 am

Ranking teams In Order of predicted finish is not betting

Rosolino_Leone · Post by **Rosolino_Leone** » Mon Mar 22, 2021 8:48 pm

- Western Bulldogs to win Premiership 11-1
- Bontempelli to win Brownlow 11-1

Combined 121-1

Rosolino_Leone · Post by **Rosolino_Leone** » Tue Mar 23, 2021 11:38 am

My tip for this week

SB PICK YOUR OWN LINE

Coll v Carl

Under (150.5) = $3

Consistent rain up until Thursday night promises a slippery slobberknocker between 2 arch rivals. With Collingwood's defensive approach I almost guarrentee one of the 4 quarters will only produce 1-2 goals.

Accuracy at goal will also be a problem on a wet windy night in Melbourne.

Predicted score

Collingwood 8.10.58
Carlton 8.10.58

K · Post by K » Tue Mar 23, 2021 8:07 pm

^Hmm...

Will it really be slippery? Isn't the 'G draining system really good?

Collingwood scores

2021: 53.

2020: 86, 36, 81, 64, 48, 59, 57, 45, 49, 50, 62, 44, 65, 72, 34, 68, 45, 76, 32. [Ave. 56.]

(Of course, 2020 games were shorter.)

Carlton scores

2021: 80.

2020: 81, 53, 79, 52, 55, 103, 61, 64, 58, 50, 40, 0, 48, 39, 57, 56, 61. [Ave. 60.]

K · Post by K » Tue Mar 23, 2021 8:26 pm

sb:

H2H
Carlton 2.00
Collingwood 1.84

Line
Collingwood (-2.5)

Total Game Points - Over/Under
+164.5

Rosolino_Leone · Post by **Rosolino_Leone** » Wed Mar 24, 2021 3:54 pm

This game has draw written all over it

Just like rd2 last year

These are the type of games you put $20 on a draw to win a Grand

And another $20 on either team by under 15.5 to cover the bet

If your looking for another game to apply this theory too I would recommend playing Fremantle v GWS

I predict there will be 4 draws in total this season, Essendon V Hawthorn was my pick in rd1 in which I missed a cool collect of $2500 by only 1 point. I had another $50 on either team to win by under 15.5 points which I turned into $130 making a small profit of $30

Same as the GWS v St.K match I missed out on a cool collect of $2500 by only 8 points however I was still able to cover my initial outlay with the under 15.5 bet

I play 2 games per week only, instead of covering the field in which most games go over 15.5.

I feel as if i can predict which 2 games will be close each week at least 75% of the time

I am currently 2-0 from Rd1 and this weeks selections are Coll v Carl and Freo v GWS

Rosolino_Leone · Post by **Rosolino_Leone** » Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:27 pm

K wrote:^Hmm...

Will it really be slippery? Isn't the 'G draining system really good?

Collingwood scores

2021: 53.

2020: 86, 36, 81, 64, 48, 59, 57, 45, 49, 50, 62, 44, 65, 72, 34, 68, 45, 76, 32. [Ave. 56.]

(Of course, 2020 games were shorter.)

Carlton scores

2021: 80.

2020: 81, 53, 79, 52, 55, 103, 61, 64, 58, 50, 40, 0, 48, 39, 57, 56, 61. [Ave. 60.]

Hmmmm, so the average score for both teams score is 58. Very interesting. Exactley my predicted score for both teams, what a coincidence...

K · Post by K » Thu Mar 25, 2021 4:22 pm

Rosolino_Leone wrote:...
I predict there will be 4 draws in total this season, Essendon V Hawthorn was my pick in rd1 in which I missed a cool collect of $2500 by only 1 point. I had another $50 on either team to win by under 15.5 points which I turned into $130 making a small profit of $30
...

So you're saying there is a market available for margin under 15.5 (minus draw), not caring about which side wins?

Rosolino_Leone wrote:...
Hmmmm, so the average score for both teams score is 58. Very interesting. Exactly my predicted score for both teams, what a coincidence...

I'll be extremely surprised if you get the exact scores correct. I think there's an exact scores market too.

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Top 4 predictions (betting thread)