Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

[K]

^ First leg failed, second leg succeeded.

[K]

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne, WB N/A
Geelong 1.01
Brisbane 1.02
Port 1.05
Richmond, WC 1.17
Sydney 1.40
Essendon 3.25
GWS 3.60
Freo 6.00
Carlton 13,00
Adelaide, St K 23.00
Collingwood 26.00
GC, Hawthorn 41.00
North --

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne, WB 1.08
Geelong 1.33
Brisbane 1.40
Port 2.50
WC 4.50
Richmond, Sydney 6.50
Essendon, GWS 67.00
Freo 201.00
Adelaide, Carlton, GC, St K, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North --

[Skids]

Been on a good run with the baseball, so thought I'd throw in a couple of multis for this weekend.

Pies V Freo

Crisp 25+ disposals
Daicos 20+ disposals
McCreery 3 + goals
Sidey - anytime goal
Game Total Under 152.5 = 85/1

Richmond v Saints

Cothcin 20+ disposals
Martin 2+ goals
CC Jones 4+ goals
Ryder anytime goal
Richmond @ line -28.5 = 106/1

Also combined all 10 legs @ 6085/1

Baseball tomorrow - Rangers/Indians/Reds @ 17/2.

[Skids]

Took the even money cash out offer after the Rangers & the Indians had won, with the Reds tied up in the 8th at 3-3 with the Twins. Ended up being the right call with the Reds going down after 3 extra innings.

Looking at the 'Next Collingwood coach' market is interesting.

We have Ross Lyon as the odds on favourite, paying $1.80.
From what has been thrown around, it's hard to think he will get the job, so here, I see an opportunity to make some coin

All the others in the market are $8 (Clarkson) and above.

Pick 4 who you think will get the job, say; Williams ($13), Mitchell ($10), Harvey ($11) & Yze ($10) and put 1 unit on each.

If you've got the new coach in your 4, you're getting a minimum of 2.5 x your total unit investment...... not bad odds for a decent return.

[The Boy Who Cried Wolf]

Mitchell out, said he wasn't interested in even an interview, Clarkson has also ruled himself out.... someone from carlton was supposedly seen talking animatedly with stephen silvagni at a cafe TODAY.. mentioning Ross Lyon... (yes the guy said he heard that and said so on radio today, was on the table next door).....

Read of it all as you will but if the Pies pick someone who is not a novice... and ticks all the boxes, well get your money on him now... before the market changes.

[K]

Problem is: it's such an open field... and the winner may not even be listed...

Lyon 1.90; Clarkson 7.00;
Yze 10.00; Harvey, Mitchell 11.00; Williams 12.00;
Leppitsch 15.00; Burns 17.00; Voss 18.00;
C. Scott 23.00; B. Scott, Macrae, Pyke 26.00;
Caracella 29.00; Kingsley, Sanderson, Tapping, Giansiracusa, Daly, Teague, Solomon, Schofield, Graham, Barker, Longmire, Worsfold, Hayes, Hodge, Knights, Lappin, Roos, S. Lloyd, S. King 34.00;
Carroll, Skipworth 41.00...

+ lots of silly names (e.g the rat-pack).

(sb)


Or do you reckon they've covered the whole field?

[K]

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne, WB, Geelong N/A
Brisbane 1.02
Port 1.05
Richmond, WC 1.17
Sydney 1.40
Essendon 2.88
GWS 3.50
Freo 7.00
Carlton 21.00
Adelaide, St K, Collingwood 26.00
GC 67.00
Hawthorn 81.00
North --

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne, WB 1.12
Geelong 1.17
Brisbane 1.40
Port 2.10
WC 4.50
Richmond 8.00
Sydney 9.00
Essendon, GWS 67.00
Freo 201.00
Adelaide, Carlton, GC, St K, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North --

[K]

Geez, people say we have a tough run with injury, this mob are cursed!

With the outs Freo have we should win this by 8 goals. Pies by 40+ (I'm guessing that'll be paying around 5/1)

Had a teeny weeny nibble at 6.00...
But I don't really believe it. e.g. If the Pies score 80 points, that'd mean keeping Freo below 40. Even 100 points --> below 60. Tough ask.

[K]

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne, WB, Geelong, Brisbane, Port N/A
Richmond, WC 1.28
Sydney 1.40
Essendon 3.00
Freo 4.00
GWS 5.00
Carlton 17.00
St K 21.00
Collingwood 34.00
Adelaide 51.00
GC, Hawthorn 81.00
North --

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

WB 1.06
Melbourne 1.08
Brisbane 1.20
Geelong 1.33
Port 2.00
WC 9.00
Sydney 11.00
Richmond 13.00
Essendon, GWS 101.00
Freo 151.00
Adelaide, Carlton, GC, St K, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North --

[K]

...
Pies V Freo

Crisp 25+ disposals; Daicos 20+ disposals
McCreery 3 + goals Sidey - anytime goal
Game Total Under 152.5 = 85/1
...

Crisp 30, Daicos 18; McCreery 0, Sidebottom 1;
79+91=170.
So 3 legs failed.

...
Richmond v Saints

Cotchin 20+ disposals;
Martin 2+ goals; CC Jones 4+ goals; Ryder anytime goal
Richmond @ line -28.5 = 106/1

Also combined all 10 legs @ 6085/1
...

Cotchin 22, Martin 1, CJ 0, Ryder 0;
St K by 40.
So 4 legs failed.

[Skids]

No need to remind me K, been getting smashed lately. Even the baseball system has failed 5 days in a row!

Only reprieve was when at the casino watching the game, I went with my old faithful, Race 4 #4 at Morphetville, got up at 33/1.

[K]

Sorry, don't want to remind you, Skids!

I just want to record results so it's easier to see how we've done when I look back later. I reckon record keeping is the way to go with betting.

[K]

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne, WB, Geelong, Brisbane, Port N/A
Sydney 1.17
WC 1.45
Richmond 1.62
GWS 2.50
Essendon, Freo 4.50
St K 7.00
Carlton 9.00
Adelaide, GC 101.00
Hawthorn, Collingwood 201.00

North --

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

WB 1.05
Brisbane 1.17
Geelong 1.22
Melbourne 1.28
Port 1.62
Sydney 7.00
WC 23.00
Richmond 34.00
GWS 51.00

Essendon, Freo, Adelaide, Carlton, GC, St K, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North --

[K]

sb To Make the Top 8

Melbourne, WB, Geelong, Brisbane, Port N/A
Sydney 1.05
WC 1.80
Freo 2.60
Richmond 3.00
St K 3.20
Essendon 3.40
GWS 3.75
Carlton 15.00
GC 26.00

Adelaide, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North --

...................................

sb To Make the Top 4

Melbourne, WB 1.08
Geelong 1.14
Brisbane 1.45
Port 1.91
Sydney 3.75
WC 101.00

Richmond, GWS, Essendon, Freo, Adelaide, Carlton, GC, St K, Collingwood, Hawthorn, North --

[23 YIPPEE!!!]

I think a tigers lose to lions then cats both possible losses for tigers then they will miss the 8