Coronavirus 4 - Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

[think positive]

Another example of Victoria's incompetence

Victoria - last appointment - 4:50pm
NSW - last appointment - 7:50pm

What I was always amazed about was when Victoria was running wild, testing still finished at 5pm, yet I think NSW started running some all night if they had to.

Victoria hit their limit at about 50,000 daily tests, NSW running triple that.

probably a good thing since they are at 20 times our count plus!

[Pies4shaw]

The 7-day moving average of deaths in the UK has just edged to 101 deaths per day. Cases are up to an average of over 33,000 per day (after "dipping" to a rolling 7-day average of just under 26,000 on 3 August 2021). There were 174 deaths reported today. Cases are up 14% in the last 7 days compared with the previous week and deaths are up 9%.

After getting down to a 7-day rolling average of 10 new cases per day in early June, Israel is now averaging nearly 9,000 new cases per day. After a 7-day rolling average of 0 deaths per day as recently as 4 July, Israel is now averaging 25 deaths per day. That will increase markedly, since infection numbers have more than doubled in the last fortnight. Cases are up 26% in the last 7 days and deaths are up 32%. Israel's population is about 1 third of ours.

In the US, the seven day rolling average of new cases dropped under 12,000 per day on June 21 but is now back to almost 150,000 per day. Deaths dropped to an average of under 250 per day on 8 July 2021 but are now back to a 7-day rolling average of 873 per day. Cases are up 8% in the last 7 days and deaths are up 13%.

[eddiesmith]

Another example of Victoria's incompetence

Victoria - last appointment - 4:50pm
NSW - last appointment - 7:50pm

What I was always amazed about was when Victoria was running wild, testing still finished at 5pm, yet I think NSW started running some all night if they had to.

Victoria hit their limit at about 50,000 daily tests, NSW running triple that.

probably a good thing since they are at 20 times our count plus!

I was talking of last year when Victoria was at 700 daily cases, the testing has always seemed to max out around 50,000

[Pies4shaw]

^ Victoria's positive test rate yesterday was 1 in every 1,250 tests. In NSW, the positive test rate yesterday was 1 in every 140. Both are doing sufficient testing. At the Victorian "strike" rate, ramping up voluntary testing would be pointless. The only people being missed by Victoria's testing program at the moment seem to be some people who persist in the belief that they don't have COVID and don't need to be tested.

The initial view, worldwide, seemed to be that doing enough testing to keep the positive hit rate below about 5% was appropriate. At the height of last year's outbreak, Victoria never reached that threshold on any day of testing. The present positive testing rate is over 60 times better (that is, lower) than it was at he height of last year's outbreak.

At the moment, NSW has well over 20 times the total number of active cases Victoria has, so you'd expect many, many more people to require testing in NSW as close contacts etc. To put that intro context, Victoria never reached a total of 7.900 active cases last year, whereas NSW presently has nearly 12,500 active cases (that they know about).

[What'sinaname]

The 7-day moving average of deaths in the UK has just edged to 101 deaths per day. Cases are up to an average of over 33,000 per day (after "dipping" to a rolling 7-day average of just under 26,000 on 3 August 2021). There were 174 deaths reported today. Cases are up 14% in the last 7 days compared with the previous week and deaths are up 9%.

After getting down to a 7-day rolling average of 10 new cases per day in early June, Israel is now averaging nearly 9,000 new cases per day. After a 7-day rolling average of 0 deaths per day as recently as 4 July, Israel is now averaging 25 deaths per day. That will increase markedly, since infection numbers have more than doubled in the last fortnight. Cases are up 26% in the last 7 days and deaths are up 32%. Israel's population is about 1 third of ours.

In the US, the seven day rolling average of new cases dropped under 12,000 per day on June 21 but is now back to almost 150,000 per day. Deaths dropped to an average of under 250 per day on 8 July 2021 but are now back to a 7-day rolling average of 873 per day. Cases are up 8% in the last 7 days and deaths are up 13%.

Will it? With high rates of vaccination, cases does not equal hospitalisations or deaths.

[Pies4shaw]

^ Self-evidently, yes. It's all very well to have a counterfactual mantra - but the data trends simply do not bear yours out.

In Victoria, 80 new local cases and no new cases acquired overseas.
- 56,248 test results were received

The Government says that "Of the 80 local cases, 67 are linked to current outbreaks and 39 have been in quarantine throughout their infectious period."

[David]

Guessing any hopes of being out of lockdown next Friday should be well and truly put to rest, hey.

[stui magpie]

^

Pretty much. Metro Melbourne couldn't be locked down much harder yet the cases are still increasing.

[What'sinaname]

^

Pretty much. Metro Melbourne couldn't be locked down much harder yet the cases are still increasing.

Yep, you can't eliminate this strain. Once it's out, it's about management.

[What'sinaname]

Be interesting to see how NZ manage their way through this. They aren't suppressing the ol' numbees.

[Jezza]

1,029 cases in NSW.

[Dark Beanie]

People waiting too long to get tested.

Some people saying they don't go anywhere, they will be fine but they are still going to the supermarket and/or local shops.

People in SE suburbs still view it as a Western suburbs issue.

In Shepp prior to this outbreak, COVID was only in the city if you didn't go to Melbourne or Sydney you were fine.

[What'sinaname]

Dan admitted two things

1. He is still aiming for zero
2. He won't stop lockdowns even if vaccination reaches 80%. Brett wants 90%+

[Pies4shaw]

[think positive]

dp