Coronavirus 4 - Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

[Dave The Man]

It's a positive, if the case numbers can plateau then they can start going down.

The plan then is to not go back to elimination and Covid zero plans, but keep the numbers at a manageable level while starting to wind back restrictions.

The Questions will be what is those Numbers will be they call Manageable

[stui magpie]

Meanwhile, as we are in Spring looking forward to summer and opening up, in the UK they're in Autumn and preparing to lock down again.

The daily papers front pages.

https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-the-pape ... um=custom7

[Pies4shaw]

From NSW Health twitter:

NSW recorded 1,259 new locally acquired cases of COVID-19 in the 24 hours to 8pm last night.

Two new cases were acquired overseas, and 36 previously reported cases have been excluded following further investigation.

The total number of cases in NSW since the beginning of the pandemic is 46,818. Sadly, NSW Health has been notified of the deaths of 12 people who had COVID-19.

....

There have been 198 COVID-19 related deaths in NSW since 16 June 2021, and 254 in total since the start of the pandemic. There have been 41,177 locally acquired cases reported since 16 June 2021, when the first case in this outbreak was reported.

There are currently 1,241 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 234 people in intensive care, 108 of whom require ventilation.

There were 137,498 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous day’s total of 114,084.

....

Of the 1,259 locally acquired cases reported to 8pm last night, 366 are from South Western Sydney Local Health District (LHD), 310 are from Western Sydney LHD, 172 are from Sydney LHD, 156 are from South Eastern Sydney LHD, 82 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD, 46 are from Illawarra Shoalhaven LHD, 38 are from Northern Sydney LHD, 27 are from Hunter New England LHD, 11 are from Central Coast LHD, 10 are from Far West LHD, six are from Western NSW LHD, seven are from Southern LHD, two are from Murrumbidgee LHD, 10 are in correctional settings and 16 cases are yet to be assigned to an LHD. NSW Health's ongoing sewage surveillance program has recently detected fragments of the virus that causes COVID-19 at the Bermagui sewage treatment plant in Southern NSW LHD, the Glen Innes sewage treatment plant in Hunter New England LHD, the Wauchope sewage treatment plant in Mid North Coast LHD and the Trangie sewage treatment plant in Western NSW LHD.

[What'sinaname]

Ballarat into lockdown for, wait for it,........7 days.

[Pies4shaw]

And Shepparton out from tonight.

[Pies4shaw]

Meanwhile, as we are in Spring looking forward to summer and opening up, in the UK they're in Autumn and preparing to lock down again.

The daily papers front pages.

https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-the-pape ... um=custom7

The Guardian article (for which you have the front page amongst that bundle) contains a good account of the UK Government's expert panel (SAGE) advice. It is sobering. That article also includes some charts which show that, despite the extensive vaccination effort in the UK, the moving 7-day averages of cases, hospitalizations and deaths are all up substantially on the corresponding position 12 months ago: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/ ... sage-warns

[roar]

A purpose built hospital or two wouldn't go astray.

[stui magpie]

I have a memory that in early 2020, we had bugger all ICU beds in Victoria compared to NSW so the Health Minister said we were adding either 1200 or 1600 new ones. Some of that may have been fixed and some surge capacty.

Anyone know if anything actually happened or are the number of beds still woeful?

[Dave The Man]

Meanwhile, as we are in Spring looking forward to summer and opening up, in the UK they're in Autumn and preparing to lock down again.

The daily papers front pages.

https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-the-pape ... um=custom7

Shows they Opened up Too Soon and shows why we are waiting for at least 70% of People need to be Vaccinated

[Dave The Man]

I have a memory that in early 2020, we had bugger all ICU beds in Victoria compared to NSW so the Health Minister said we were adding either 1200 or 1600 new ones. Some of that may have been fixed and some surge capacty.

Anyone know if anything actually happened or are the number of beds still woeful?

Just shows how Contagious the Delta Strain is

[stui magpie]

No, it shows how inadequate much of Victoria's public health was. NSW had far greater ICU capacity and contact tracing capability before Covid

[Dave The Man]

No, it shows how inadequate much of Victoria's public health was. NSW had far greater ICU capacity and contact tracing capability before Covid

God knows what happens IF a Even worse Strain Comes along.

Be all Stuck at Home not allowed to go anywhere then

[Pies4shaw]

https://www.theage.com.au/national/vict ... 58akm.html

1,600 additional beds, at least. That's actually from a base of just under 500 in April 2020, it seems: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-02/ ... /100420728

I posted the NSW figure in this thread a couple of weeks back. I think it was in the 580s or 590s.

[Pies4shaw]

This AFR article (different source) says the NSW capacity across public and private systems is 850: https://www.afr.com/companies/healthcar ... 903-p58ojo

[eddiesmith]

I have a memory that in early 2020, we had bugger all ICU beds in Victoria compared to NSW so the Health Minister said we were adding either 1200 or 1600 new ones. Some of that may have been fixed and some surge capacty.

Anyone know if anything actually happened or are the number of beds still woeful?

Got beds but no one to actually staff them!