What are our chances for 2024?

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What do you think our chances are of winning the 2024 premiership?

Very good – we're in the box seat and will be hard to stop
30
27%
Pretty good – we should finish top 4 and still be in contention on preliminary final weekend, but hard to know from there
53
47%
Unsure – new season, everyone starts from scratch, and we're just one of many teams that can win it
22
19%
Not so good – expecting a premiership hangover and/or for other teams to pass us by
8
7%
 
Total votes: 113

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LaurieHolden
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Post by LaurieHolden »

While largely off the back of a swollen causality ward, having 6 debutants season to date will undoubtedly bolster our Premiership defence. It's no use asking the question by debuting them during the finals, it poses more risk than reward.
All going well, of the 6 debutants season to date, 3 will have forced their way into the side come finals.
If Richards (for Ginnivan), Harrison (Markov) and Dean (Murphy) have cemented their spot in the side come 1st week of finals, we'll be right in the mix again.
I'm still bullish on Dean. I've seen him do some things that suggested he's not afraid of taking risk as a defender and can play the game.
I think Pies2016 mentioned Frampton might yet prove the ultimate swingman if Dean starts to flourish in tandem with Moore, then we have an option to move Frampton up the ground (forward or ruck) if and when required.
Frampton and McInnes might loom as the biggest swing factors in this side if they can hit the scoreboard when the whips are cracking.
Noble on season to date will be hard to keep out.
"The Club's not Jock, Ted and Gerry" (& Eddie)
2023 AFL Premiers
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RudeBoy
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Post by RudeBoy »

If we can beat Freo today, missing JDG, Elliott, WHE, Mitchell and Howe, then I reckon we can go on and finish 2nd by season's end.
lazzadesilva
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Post by lazzadesilva »

RudeBoy wrote:If we can beat Freo today, missing JDG, Elliott, WHE, Mitchell and Howe, then I reckon we can go on and finish 2nd by season's end.
2nd? I hope you mean on the ladder and not in the GF
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What'sinaname
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Post by What'sinaname »

I've run the ladder predictor and get the following

Syd 80
Mel 76
Car 76
Ess 66
GWS 60
Geel 60
Port 52
GC 48
----
Freo 46
Coll 44
Haw 44
Bri 42
WB 40
Adel 34
WCE 32
StK 12
Rich 12
Nor 4
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shawthing
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Post by shawthing »

Realistically not good now.
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Haff
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Post by Haff »

We’ll go into the bye 7-2-6.
Top 4 is long long gone but if we have our full squad, there is zero reason we can’t win it from as far back as 8th!
The match day thread is for unfiltered BS knee jerk reactions. The time for level headed comment comes after.
What'sinaname
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Post by What'sinaname »

Haff wrote:We’ll go into the bye 7-2-6.
Top 4 is long long gone but if we have our full squad, there is zero reason we can’t win it from as far back as 8th!
We've got to get to 8th.

We have a horror run after the bye. The Richmond game is the only game you can confidently pencil in as a win
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Take_a_Screamer
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Post by Take_a_Screamer »

Players mentioned...

● Billy Frampton
● Ash Johnson
● Steele Sidebottom
● Wil Parker
● The Midfield Mix

Experimentation, or illogical? Questions over four key Pies sum up Collingwood's current crossroads
https://www.theroar.com.au/2024/06/06/s ... g-forward/
Ash Johnson...you beauty
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1eyedpie
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Post by 1eyedpie »

Take_a_Screamer wrote:/
^

I agree 100% with the roar article.
Never disperse your focus unless absolutely necessary. Face one adversary at a time!


BARRACK HARD!
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Jezza
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Post by Jezza »

Sydney obviously the standout team at this stage, but everyone else is stumbling at the moment so there's an opportunity to get a run on in the second half of the season and get top 4.

If we beat Melbourne tomorrow and North Melbourne next week, then we're in a good position heading into the bye where hopefully our experienced players (e.g. Pendles, Checkers, JDG etc.) gradually start returning soon after.
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RudeBoy
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Post by RudeBoy »

Correct weight Jezza.

I'm calling it now. If we beat the toffs we will make the top 4.
What'sinaname
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Post by What'sinaname »

Sydney and Carlton will lock up 1 and 2. Sydney far too good and Carlton have a buttery soft fixture.

Everyone else is playing for 3 - 8 now.
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Take_a_Screamer
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Post by Take_a_Screamer »

Replacements stepping up...
Well written The Age article about our prospects

https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/you ... 5jk66.html
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mattdally
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Post by mattdally »

Interesting.
If we can get the W today, we're going to set ourselves for top 4.
If we lose, then it will be a battle to make the finals.

Big Game Pies
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eddiesmith
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Post by eddiesmith »

What'sinaname wrote:Sydney and Carlton will lock up 1 and 2. Sydney far too good and Carlton have a buttery soft fixture.

Everyone else is playing for 3 - 8 now.
Can’t believe how soft Carlton’s draw is given they made a prelim…

Geelong’s is also soft with double ups against the bottom 6 so will also finish top 4 despite not beating another top 8 side.
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