2018-2019 EPL Discussion Thread

K · Post by K » Wed Apr 17, 2019 3:57 pm

Social media tells us there has not been an EPL draw since Bournemouth 2-2 Newcastle a month ago.

Post by **Jezza** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 3:14 pm

Latest Results:

Friday April 12 2019:
Leicester City 0-1 Newcastle United

Saturday April 13 2019:
Tottenham Hotspur 4-0 Huddersfield Town
Brighton & Hove Albion 0-5 AFC Bournemouth
Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City
Fulham 2-0 Everton
Southampton 3-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United 2-1 West Ham United

Sunday April 14 2019:
Crystal Palace 1-3 Manchester City
Liverpool 2-0 Chelsea

Monday April 15 2019:
Watford 0-1 Arsenal

Tuesday April 16 2019:
Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 Cardiff City

The Ladder:
1. Liverpool 85 - Played 34
2. Man City 83 - Played 33
3. Tottenham 67 - Played 33
4. Arsenal 66 - Played 33
----------------------
5. Chelsea 66 - Played 34
6. Man Utd 64 - Played 33
7. Leicester 47 - Played 34
8. Wolves 47 - Played 33
9. Everton 46 - Played 34
10. Watford 46 - Played 33
11. West Ham 42 - Played 34
12. Bournemouth 41 - Played 34
13. Crystal Palace 39 - Played 34
14. Burnley 39 - Played 34
15. Newcastle 38 - Played 34
16. Southampton 36 - Played 33
17. Brighton 33 - Played 33
-----------------------
18. Cardiff 31 - Played 34
19. Fulham 20 - Played 34
20. Huddersfield 14 - Played 34

Post by **Jezza** » Thu Apr 18, 2019 3:32 pm

K wrote:Social media tells us there has not been an EPL draw since Bournemouth 2-2 Newcastle a month ago.

Correct.

Interesting stat.

K · Post by K » Thu Apr 18, 2019 3:41 pm

And, though Tottenham did not make it through the season without a draw, they are good chances to keep it to one only.

K · Post by K » Fri Apr 19, 2019 3:08 am

I wonder how many player differences there'll be in the next Man. City v. Tottenham match. It must be unusual for them to play each other this many times in such a short time. FiveThirtyEight are predicting Man. City 70%, Tottenham 11%.

Post by **Jezza** » Fri Apr 19, 2019 3:10 pm

I think Manchester City are favourites for the title now in light of their Champions League elimination.

Liverpool have to focus on both competitions and have a more hectic schedule compared to City.

Post by **Jezza** » Fri Apr 19, 2019 3:27 pm

Weekend Matches:

Saturday April 20 2019:
Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur - 12:30
AFC Bournemouth v Fulham - 15:00
Huddersfield Town v Watford - 15:00
West Ham United v Leicester City - 15:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Brighton & Hove Albion - 15:00
Newcastle United v Southampton - 17:30

Sunday April 21 2019:
Everton v Manchester United - 13:30
Arsenal v Crystal Palace - 16:00
Cardiff City v Liverpool - 16:00

Monday April 22 2019:
Chelsea v Burnley - 20:00

All local times.

K · Post by K » Fri Apr 19, 2019 8:40 pm

Jezza wrote:I think Manchester City are favourites for the title now in light of their Champions League elimination.

Liverpool have to focus on both competitions and have a more hectic schedule compared to City.

It's getting very tight. It's true Liverpool have a balancing act, but they were able to rest players for the second leg against Porto. Man. City have more EPL games to play too.

Liverpool look like they've got a second wind after faltering a bit. Scoring of late has not been a problem for them. They are a real chance to win both the EPL & the Champions League.

K · Post by K » Fri Apr 19, 2019 8:48 pm

K wrote:I wonder how many player differences there'll be in the next Man. City v. Tottenham match. It must be unusual for them to play each other this many times in such a short time. FiveThirtyEight are predicting Man. City 70%, Tottenham 11%.

"If they can remove the emotion from the Champions League loss, City will draw heart from the fact that they dominated large parts of the game, enjoying 66 percent possession and 20 shots to Spurs' 11.

While Mauricio Pochettino's options are limited by injuries, including to attacking fulcrum Harry Kane, Guardiola has plenty of fresh alternatives to call on, including German winger Leroy Sane, who did not feature until the 84th minute on Wednesday.

Third-placed Spurs have plenty to play for as well -- the battle for a top-four finish and qualification for the Champions League is tight with Arsenal and Chelsea just a point behind and sixth-placed Manchester United only three points adrift."

(AAP)

K · Post by K » Fri Apr 19, 2019 8:55 pm

Jezza wrote:
K wrote:Social media tells us there has not been an EPL draw since Bournemouth 2-2 Newcastle a month ago.
Correct.
Interesting stat.

ESPN says: "March 16 was also the last time there was a draw in the Premier League, since then 34 games have passed ... That ... is the longest run of tieless games in Premier League history."

K · Post by K » Fri Apr 19, 2019 9:02 pm

K wrote:...
The fat lady seems to have sung in most other major football leagues:

La Liga: Barcelona > 99%

Bundesliga: Bayern Munich 87%; Dormund 13%

Serie A: Juventus > 99%

Ligue 1: PSG > 99%

Primeira Liga: Benfica 58%; Porto 42%

The psychology and sociology of following football must be totally different in those leagues.

"The danger is that games between the "big six" and "also-rans" can occasionally look like training exercises, with the smaller club simply looking to frustrate in the hope of nicking an unlikely point.

That said, the Premier League is in better shape than Italy's Serie A, where Juventus are about to collect an eighth successive title, or Germany, where Bayern Munich demolished Dortmund, their closest rivals, 5-0 and will likely be champions for a seventh successive season. Likewise, Paris Saint-Germain's immense wealth is blowing the opposition away in France since Monaco's vintage year with Kylian Mbappe and Bernardo Silva.
...

All of those countries are crying out for a Leicester-esque tale of the unexpected to spice up the scene. At least Spain has Atletico Madrid to occasionally challenge the duopoly of Real Madrid and Barcelona in La Liga. Thank you, Diego Simeone."

(I. Darke, ESPN.)

K · Post by K » Sat Apr 20, 2019 5:19 pm

SBS Live Telecast:

Saturday 20th April: 9pm AEST (kick off 9:30pm), Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur

K · Post by K » Sat Apr 20, 2019 11:37 pm

Manchester City 1-0 Tottenham Hostspur

The goal came within the first 5 minutes.

Man. City had most of the possession, but there were chances for both sides. It was a nervous last 10 or 15 minutes for Man. City, as Tottenham pushed for an equalizer.

De Bruyn was injured and went off. Two yellow cards were given in extra time, as tempers flared. There were multiple (denied) appeals for handball in the box. None of them looked deliberate. The wording of the law is going to be changed, from exactly what to what I don't know.

K · Post by K » Sun Apr 21, 2019 3:32 am

Bookies' odds:

Man. City ~62%
Liverpool ~38%

FiveThirtyEight's predictions:

Man. City 60%
Liverpool 40%

K · Post by K » Mon Apr 22, 2019 3:37 am

Bookies' odds, following Liverpool's win over Cardiff City:

Man. City ~59%
Liverpool ~41%

FiveThirtyEight's predictions:

Man. City 57%
Liverpool 43%

FiveThirtyEight predictions for UCL qualification:

Tottenham 89%
Arsenal 54%
Chelsea 49%
Man. United 7%

It's very tight between Arsenal & Chelsea -- not that Tottenham are totally safe.

Elsewhere, Juventus & PSG put everyone out of their misery and confirmed title wins in their leagues. We still have to wait for Barcelona & Bayern Munich to do the same.

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2018-2019 EPL Discussion Thread